Understanding clinical research is essential for evaluating health claims. This guide provides a framework for reading and critically evaluating clinical studies.
The Hierarchy of Evidence
Not all research carries equal weight. Studies are ranked by their ability to minimize bias:
- Systematic reviews and meta-analyses: Aggregate and analyze multiple studies on the same question
- Randomized controlled trials (RCTs): Participants are randomly assigned to treatment or control groups
- Cohort studies: Groups are followed over time to see who develops outcomes
- Case-control studies: Compare people with an outcome to similar people without
- Case series and case reports: Descriptions of individual patients or small groups
- Expert opinion: Opinions without systematic critical appraisal
Understanding Study Design
Randomized Controlled Trials
RCTs are considered the gold standard for testing interventions. Key features include:
- Randomization: Participants are randomly assigned to groups, reducing selection bias
- Control group: A comparison group receives placebo or standard care
- Blinding: Participants, researchers, or both are unaware of group assignments
RCT limitations include expense, ethical constraints, and limited ability to study long-term outcomes or rare events.
Observational Studies
Observational studies do not involve researcher intervention. They can identify associations but cannot establish causation:
- Cohort studies: Follow groups forward in time
- Case-control studies: Look backward from outcomes to exposures
- Cross-sectional studies: Measure exposure and outcome at one point in time
Critical Appraisal Questions
When reading a study, consider these questions:
About the Study Population
- Who was included and excluded?
- How many participants were enrolled?
- Are participants similar to the population you care about?
- How many dropped out, and why?
About the Intervention
- What exactly was the intervention (dose, duration, delivery)?
- What did the control group receive?
- Could participants tell which group they were in?
About the Outcomes
- What outcomes were measured?
- Were outcomes objective or subjective?
- Who assessed the outcomes? Were they blinded?
- How long were participants followed?
Understanding Statistical Results
P-Values and Statistical Significance
A p-value indicates the probability that the observed result would occur by chance if there were no real effect. By convention, p < 0.05 is considered "statistically significant."
However, statistical significance has important limitations:
- Statistical significance does not mean clinical significance—a result can be statistically significant but too small to matter clinically
- P-values do not indicate effect size or importance
- Multiple comparisons increase the chance of false positives
Confidence Intervals
Confidence intervals provide a range of plausible values for the true effect. A 95% confidence interval means that if the study were repeated many times, 95% of the intervals would contain the true value.
Narrow confidence intervals indicate more precise estimates; wide intervals indicate greater uncertainty.
Absolute vs. Relative Risk
Relative risk reductions can be misleading without context:
- Example: A treatment that reduces risk from 2% to 1% offers a 50% relative risk reduction but only a 1% absolute risk reduction
- Always look for absolute numbers when evaluating claimed benefits
Common Biases and Limitations
- Selection bias: Participants differ systematically from the target population
- Attrition bias: Participants who drop out differ from those who remain
- Publication bias: Positive results are more likely to be published than negative ones
- Funding bias: Industry-funded studies may be more likely to report favorable results
- Confounding: Other factors may explain the association between exposure and outcome
Red Flags in Research Reporting
Be cautious when you see:
- Claims based on a single study
- Animal or cell studies presented as applicable to humans
- Failure to disclose funding sources or conflicts of interest
- Absence of control groups
- Very small sample sizes for the claims being made
- Only relative (not absolute) risk reported
- Outcomes that were not pre-specified
Summary
Reading clinical research critically requires understanding study design, recognizing limitations, and interpreting statistics appropriately. No single study provides definitive answers—conclusions are strongest when supported by multiple, well-designed studies with consistent findings.
References & Further Reading
- Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine. Oxford Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine Levels of Evidence. University of Oxford.
- NIH National Library of Medicine. Health Economics Information Resources Glossary. NLM.
- CONSORT Group. CONSORT Statement for Reporting Randomized Trials.
- Cochrane Training. Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions.